Seems a strange interpretation of the chart. Just to confirm that the Conservatives lost the last general election, very badly. They did not turn around the decline in the polls that started soon after the 2019 general election. Labour started from a lower vote share after the 2024 general election and the trend in the graph since then closely resembles hat of their Conservative predecessors. That's why Labour MPs are panicking. Yes, it may be the old "mid-term blues" and Labour may recover. But that's by no means guaranteed.
This is a brave call. It could either make you into a legend among political predictors, or a lesson. I would have thought the PM polling as the most unpopular in history might be a tiny bit off the usual track, but hey, I'm no expert.
That graph is showing that the current party in power is now polling worse than the previous party in power did just before the 2024 election. Considering that the 2024 election was one of the worst ever defeats for a party in power, for the new party in power to have reached the same stage in the polls in under 2 years should surely be cause for a bit of concern, alongside the polls showing Starmer even more unpopular now than Truss! The good news is that they have time to turn it round before the next election has to be called, however they show no signs of being able to do so thus far.
Labour got fewer votes in 2024 than they did in 2019, and a slightly lower share of the vote, it's collapse of the Tory vote that gave them their majority. Same thing goes for the Lib Dems and their much increased representation - achieved on slightly fewer votes than in 2019. The hugely increased shares of seats in both cases are thus quite fragile and could be reversed if there's a consolidation of the opposing votes onto one of the other parties, especially if they lose votes next time round.
And what about the orwellian online censorship and surveillance act?
Seems a strange interpretation of the chart. Just to confirm that the Conservatives lost the last general election, very badly. They did not turn around the decline in the polls that started soon after the 2019 general election. Labour started from a lower vote share after the 2024 general election and the trend in the graph since then closely resembles hat of their Conservative predecessors. That's why Labour MPs are panicking. Yes, it may be the old "mid-term blues" and Labour may recover. But that's by no means guaranteed.
This is a brave call. It could either make you into a legend among political predictors, or a lesson. I would have thought the PM polling as the most unpopular in history might be a tiny bit off the usual track, but hey, I'm no expert.
That graph is showing that the current party in power is now polling worse than the previous party in power did just before the 2024 election. Considering that the 2024 election was one of the worst ever defeats for a party in power, for the new party in power to have reached the same stage in the polls in under 2 years should surely be cause for a bit of concern, alongside the polls showing Starmer even more unpopular now than Truss! The good news is that they have time to turn it round before the next election has to be called, however they show no signs of being able to do so thus far.
Labour got fewer votes in 2024 than they did in 2019, and a slightly lower share of the vote, it's collapse of the Tory vote that gave them their majority. Same thing goes for the Lib Dems and their much increased representation - achieved on slightly fewer votes than in 2019. The hugely increased shares of seats in both cases are thus quite fragile and could be reversed if there's a consolidation of the opposing votes onto one of the other parties, especially if they lose votes next time round.
Thanks for the laugh.